Economic Analysis
MPC Preview: Oil bites. Will SBP bite back?
When the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) last met on September 14, three of its ten members wanted to raise rates by a full percentage point. The majority chose to wait, warning that hostilities in the Middle East were pushing oil prices higher. Six weeks later, crude is trading above $114 a barrel, and the market is betting that the wait is over.
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Pakistan has beaten poverty before. It can do it again
Pakistan has already shown that poverty can be cut by more than half. Between 2005–06 and 2018–19, the national poverty rate fell from 50.4% to 21.9%. Yet, by 2024–25, it had climbed back to 28.9%. Why did we succeed before, what went wrong, and what must the government do to repeat that success?
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Pakistan Achieved Economic Stability. Now Government Must Deliver Growth
Pakistan’s economy is in a considerably better position than it was a few years ago. The country has moved away from acute external pressure and macroeconomic instability, and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and his economic team deserve recognition for maintaining fiscal discipline, rebuilding reserves and keeping the economy on a path of stabilization.
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Why record reserves are not worth celebrating yet
Pakistan's central bank has never held this many dollars. On September 18, the State Bank's reserves stood at $21.40 billion, comfortably above the previous peak of $20.07 billion set in August 2021. It is a genuine milestone. It is also a slightly misleading one, because almost none of that money was earned.
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Living Abroad, Taxable in Pakistan?
Living and working outside Pakistan does not necessarily bring an individual’s Pakistan tax obligations to an end. Residential status is certainly important, but it is only the first question. The source of income, filing requirements, remittances, investments, wealth disclosures and transfers to family members must also be considered.
Go to article| Name | Price/Vol | %Chg/NChg |
|---|---|---|
| KSE100 | 163,038.47 114.58M | 0.41% 663.59 |
| ALLSHR | 98,887.69 371.89M | 0.27% 267.58 |
| KSE30 | 48,091.01 47.80M | 0.56% 267.86 |
| KMI30 | 233,976.84 49.26M | 0.53% 1242.85 |
| KMIALLSHR | 64,092.91 187.27M | 0.21% 137.24 |
| BKTi | 44,832.63 16.31M | 0.24% 108.46 |
| OGTi | 33,378.35 2.75M | 1.04% 344.63 |
| Symbol | Bid/Ask | High/Low | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PKR | 276.80 | 276.85 | 276.80 | 276.80 | 15:00:20 |
| EUR | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 18:24:59 |
| GBP | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.33 | 18:24:59 |
| CHF | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.82 | 18:24:59 |
| JPY | 157.52 | 157.56 | 157.64 | 156.65 | 18:24:59 |
| CAD | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.41 | 1.40 | 18:24:58 |
| AUD | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 18:24:59 |
| INR | 95.19 | 95.19 | 95.26 | 94.89 | 18:24:24 |
| SAR | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 03:24:44 |
| AED | 3.67 | 3.67 | 3.67 | 3.67 | 03:24:53 |
| Name | Last | High/Low | Chg/%Chg |
|---|---|---|---|
| BITCOIN FUTURES | 79,885.00 | 79,945.00 79,800.00 | -15.00 -0.02% |
| BRENT CRUDE | 115.13 | 117.44 114.00 | -1.59 -1.36% |
| RICHARDS BAY COAL MONTHLY | 128.50 | 0.00 0.00 | -0.35 -0.27% |
| ROTTERDAM COAL MONTHLY | 147.10 | 0.00 0.00 | 0.10 0.07% |
| USD RBD PALM OLEIN | 1,182.50 | 1,182.50 1,182.50 | 0.00 0.00% |
| CRUDE OIL - WTI | 101.36 | 101.50 101.25 | -0.40 -0.39% |
| SUGAR #11 WORLD | 19.10 | 19.89 18.85 | -1.14 -5.63% |
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